I must be psychic!

September 21st, 2008

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Could I be a clairvoyant?  A seer?  A prophet?

Some recent news stories:

18 Sep 2008:  Transformer Glitch Shuts Down Biggest Atom Amasher
19 Sep 2008:  LHC Shut Down By Transformer
20 Sep 2008:  Helium Leak Forces LHC to Shut Down For Two Months
20 Sep 2008:  LHC Delayed Due to Magnet Failure

To summarize what happened:  Shortly before the LHC was to be powered up, it was discovered that one of the transformers that provides power to the cooling system had malfunctioned.   They managed to replace it with a spare and got the accelerator up and running on time.   However, it only ran for a short period of time before yet another problem came up.

The second problem also appears to have involved a transformer and the LHC was forced to be shut down for a couple of days while a replacement was found.   During that time the cryo system was in standby mode to maintain the temperatures required by the superconducting magnets of the massive collider.   Once the new transformer was in things seemed to be back to normal,

Until… the LHC sprung a leak, and spewed liquid helium into the tunnel that houses the LHC.  It’s believed that the leak was actually caused by a short circuit or faulty electrical connection which caused one of the bus bars to melt, damaging the helium conduit and causing the leak.  When the system was brought to full power, one the bars that carries current to the magnets seems to have almost imediatly melted.

Now if that is not enough, further inspection has apparently found that there has been a failure of at least one of the pairs of magnets on the LHC.   It seems that the failure of the helium cooling system caused an imediate “quenching” of one (and probably more) of the superconducting magnets which was severe enough to cause damage.   At least 100 of the massive superconducting magnets lost cooling while under load and all will now need to be inspected and tested.   There’s a signifficant possibility that a large portion may need to be replaced.

As things now stand, an entire section of the accelerator (1/8th of the total system) has been completely powered down and will need to be drained of coolant so that workers can access the areas to inspect, replace and repair the components.   The repairs are expected to take at least two months.

So while I do feel a bit bummed about these glitches for the LHC, there are two silver linings to this as far as I can tell:

1.   The US still has the most powerful particle accelerator in the world (for now)  GO USA!
2.   I’m a psychic.   And I can offer verifiable proof!

On September 7th 2008, I made the following statement in an E-mail:

My only “kind of concern” for the LHC is that when brought up to full power it might have some other problem that does not endanger the whole earth, but it would not be the first time a ‘Big Science’ project was brought on line and then had something big and expensive and bad happen.   What I mean by that is something like a helium vessel exploding when brought to full pressure and causing a few months setback or having one of the transformers overheat or something – I know they’ve checked it out many times, but anything this big is going to have a reasonable probability of experiencing something like that in the first few weeks of operation.   (Not that it would destroy the earth or anything).

On September 2nd, I made the following statement on an instant message conversation:

DrBuzz0: Yeah, fingers crossed that nothing major breaks when they throw the switch though, because you know, they’ve only been able to test the components so much.  And I mean, some of the stuff has been sitting there for a couple years.
DrBuzz0: Something this huge generally does not go 100% smoothly.  I’d be VERY surprised if they don’t suffer a helium leak or blown transformer or two.   It’s just the fact that they really could not test everything at full power until it was built.  So yeah, I’d be sweating bullets nothing big breaks if I were there.

On September 10th, I made the following statement in a post:

The LHC has not yet been brought up to anywhere near full power, however.  The first test run was relatively small and low power, but has shown the system to be generally sound.  This is definately a relief, as any system this large has a signifficant chance of some bumps in the road at startup, such as coolant leaks or short circuits.   Thus far, it’s been smooth sailing and scientists are enthusiastic about putting the LHC through its paces and begining research experiments.

Okay… just kidding.   Yes, I did say these things, but I’m not really convinced I’m a psycic


This entry was posted on Sunday, September 21st, 2008 at 1:51 am and is filed under Announcements, Good Science, Humor, Misc, Paranormal. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
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10 Responses to “I must be psychic!”

  1. 1
    Q Says:

    Clearly your ‘predictions’ are just based on your understanding of the difficulties in any really really big project and you’re intuitive logic about what is most likely to go wrong.

    The sad thing is that by the standards of most self-proclaimed psychics these predictions would be like striking platinum. If one of those a-holes made such an accurate prediction you’d never hear the end of it and how amazing it was.


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  2. 2
    Ken Clark Says:

    So, Dr B, what lottery numbers should I play next week and how is Elvis? ;)


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  3. 3
    DV82XL Says:

    What Q said.


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  4. 4
    J Carlton Says:

    I don’t know, anybody with a little thought and knowlege about particle accelerators would have made the same kind of predictions. In fact this is the kind of thing you expect at startup, which is why it can take as much as a year for first startup to running actual experiments. From personal experience the demon Murphy work overtime at an accelerator lab helped by a all too well meaning bunch of good people. Burnt transformers, exploding magnets and trashed experiments are all part of the game. But it was fun.


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  5. 5
    Farmer Gary Says:

    Maybe it was a miniature black hole that caused the leak and blew up the transformer. Has anybody checked on the opposite side of the world for similarly unexplained tiny holes in things?

    I’ll bet I can convince some conspiracy theorists that it was a black hole.


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  6. 6
    drbuzz0 Says:

            Farmer Gary said:

    Maybe it was a miniature black hole that caused the leak and blew up the transformer. Has anybody checked on the opposite side of the world for similarly unexplained tiny holes in things?

    I’ll bet I can convince some conspiracy theorists that it was a black hole.

    Well that could possibly explain my uncanny predictions – the information came to me through a time warp from the black hole.

    You can find out what is on the other side of the earth with this site: http://www.freemaptools.com/tunnel-to-other-side-of-the-earth.htm

    According to the calculator thingy it will be in the South Pacific Ocean, east of New Zealand and not far from the International Dateline


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  7. 7
    Timmy Superhero Says:

    I’m a psychic too! I predict that your still haven’t paid for TAM 6 and will come up with some lame excuse for not doing so.


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  8. 8
    drbuzz0 Says:

    Sorry but that’s already been taken care of :-D


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  9. 9
    Finrod Says:

    No matter how good the cause of the organisation to which the debt was owed, I think that if I had someone like Timmy sent after me as repo man, I’d be strongly tempted to withhold payment out of sheer contempt.


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  10. 10
    Josh Says:

    The LHC broke soon after British Prime Minister Gordon Brown publicly praised it. He’s getting a reputation for being a bit of Jonah.


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